Continental Africa Sovereign Energy & Trade Security

Population quotas, strategic reserve benchmarks and ASMOFP storage translation.

This first-generation simulator converts the TBP continental reserve concept into an interactive demand model across 54 African countries and six planning regions.

54-country planning scope6 reserve regionsPre-feasibility v1
Regional Liquid-Fuel Reserve
Regional Grain Reserve

Regional Reserve Snapshot

Active scenario

Country Demand Simulator

Edit country weights directly

Population is the default entitlement basis. Final fuel, gas, fertiliser and industrial reserve quotas should later be refined with national consumption, import dependence, power demand, crop area, port throughput and vulnerability data.

Regional Output

Active sovereign reserve requirement

ASMOFP Storage Sizing

Illustrative module translation — not engineering design

Module counts are planning equivalents only. Detailed design must address product segregation, tank type, safety zoning, throughput, loading/unloading, metocean, mooring and structural configuration.

Scenario Comparison

30 / 60 / 90 / 180-day cases

Active Scenario Assumptions

Changes update the model immediately

Regional Priority Multipliers

Method Notes

Liquid-fuel benchmark. 4.682 mb/d is used as the Africa total-liquids planning benchmark. Product categories are split with a prior-year African product-mix proxy.
Food and fertiliser. Grain, edible-oil and fertiliser quantities are TBP pre-feasibility planning assumptions, not official AU reserve standards.